Paleoclimate data constraints on climate sensitivity: The paleocalibration method

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Objectively combining AR5 instrumental period and paleoclimate climate sensitivity evidence

Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)—the rise in global mean surface temperature (GMST) resulting from a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration, once the ocean has reached equilibrium—is a key climate system parameter. Effective radiative forcing (ERF) provides a metric, designed to be a good indicator of their impact on GMST, of the effects on the Earth’s radiative imbalan...

متن کامل

Complementary observational constraints on climate sensitivity

[1] A persistent feature of empirical climate sensitivity estimates is their heavy tailed probability distribution indicating a sizeable probability of high sensitivities. Previous studies make general claims that this upper heavy tail is an unavoidable feature of (i) the Earth system, or of (ii) limitations in our observational capabilities. Here we show that reducing the uncertainty about (i)...

متن کامل

Geologic Constraints on the Glacial Amplification of Phanerozoic Climate Sensitivity

The long-term carbon cycle depends on many feedbacks. Silicate weathering consumes atmospheric CO2, but is also enhanced by the increased temperatures brought about by this important greenhouse gas. The long-term sensitivity T2x of climate to CO2-doubling modulates the strength of this negative feedback. We update the model-experiment of Royer and others (2007) by estimating an empirical probab...

متن کامل

Observational constraints on mixed-phase clouds imply higher climate sensitivity.

Global climate model (GCM) estimates of the equilibrium global mean surface temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2, measured by the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), range from 2.0° to 4.6°C. Clouds are among the leading causes of this uncertainty. Here we show that the ECS can be up to 1.3°C higher in simulations where mixed-phase clouds consisting of ice crystals and super...

متن کامل

Paleoclimate model-data consistency

Introduction Conclusions References

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Climatic Change

سال: 1996

ISSN: 0165-0009,1573-1480

DOI: 10.1007/bf00143708